Hurricane Irma is now a Category 5 storm with 185 mph winds. However, what are the chances that the dangerous storm will hit Atlanta or other areas of Georgia?
According to the National Weather Service, the storm is too unpredictable right now to determine for certain whether it will hit Georgia, but recent trends in its track concern meteorologists. The storm is headed toward Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands and then South Florida, but it’s not yet clear what turn it will take after that point. The National Weather Service’s office that serves Atlanta released this video update on September 5:
“It has quite a ways to go before it impacts any of the local area,” the NWS representative for Georgia says in the video of the hurricane. He says the trends earlier in the week showed a possible effect on the Carolinas. “But the trends have been more westward now… the question will be whether it goes out to the Gulf, out to sea or up the spine of Florida.”
He said the range of possibilities is tightening, providing more confidence in the track of the storm, but there still remains variance. Where it goes after the Florida straits is unclear but “it’s trending somewhere toward the State of Georgia, which concerns us. As far as the timing goes…we’re not looking until Saturday morning for some of the main effects to move into the Gulf and Florida.” As for Georgia, “We’re not looking for our area (to be affected) until maybe Sunday night or Monday, if the storm were to indeed affect the State of Georgia. So we have some time, but we would like everyone to use this time accordingly to prepare.”
He said that NWS officials have become more concerned over time that the storm could strike Georgia instead of going out over the Gulf. He said it’s “pretty much a guarantee” that there will be strong winds across the State of Georgia. There could be significant power outages, he said.
The NWS hazardous weather outlook for Atlanta, Georgia and the surrounding area, said on September 5 that the forecast for Wednesday through Monday reads: “Increased chances of precip expected Sunday and Monday as hurricane Irma nears the southeastern U.S. There is still some uncertainty with track of Irma, but it is possible to see some impacts by the beginning of next week.”
Track Hurricane Irma’s progress here.
See the weather forecast for Atlanta, Georgia here. Note that it’s run out of the National Weather Service’s Peachtree City, Georgia office. See the latest radar for Georgia here. See an infrared satellite map here. See the hourly forecast here.
Here’s the extended forecast for Atlanta, Georgia:
This is the detailed extended forecast for Atlanta, courtesy of the National Weather Service:
“This Afternoon (September 5)
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. West wind around 10 mph.
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between 7pm and 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. West wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 76. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly clear, with a low around 55. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunny, with a high near 76. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Clear, with a low around 56.
Sunny, with a high near 80.
Clear, with a low around 59.
Sunny, with a high near 80.
Clear, with a low around 61.
Sunny, with a high near 78.
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62.
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 76.
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63.
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a high near 73.”